{"id":2825,"date":"2024-07-01T12:03:26","date_gmt":"2024-07-01T10:03:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/teamdeck.io\/?p=2825"},"modified":"2025-01-23T22:46:57","modified_gmt":"2025-01-23T20:46:57","slug":"how-to-estimate-projects","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/teamdeck.io\/zh\/\u9879\u76ee\u7ba1\u7406\/\u5982\u4f55\u4f30\u7b97\u9879\u76ee\/","title":{"rendered":"\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u724c\u4f30\u7b97\u6280\u672f\u548c\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid redl-row-section padding-default bgv-default bgh-default halign-default\"><div class=\"wpb_column vc_column_container text-left vc_col-sm-12 padding-default bgv-default bgh-default halign-default\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\" >\n\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-the-challenge-of-inaccurate-estimates\">\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6311\u6218<\/h3>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\u662f\u9879\u76ee\u7ba1\u7406\u4e2d\u6700\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u96be\u9898\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u5728\u542f\u52a8\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684 IT \u9879\u76ee\u65f6\uff0c\u60a8\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u4e24\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff1a\u9879\u76ee\u9700\u8981\u591a\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u4ee5\u53ca\u6210\u672c\u662f\u591a\u5c11\u3002\u8981\u56de\u7b54\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u5bf9\u5373\u5c06\u5f00\u5c55\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u7b97\u3002\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u795e\u5947\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u89c4\u5b9a X \u9879\u76ee\u9700\u8981 12 \u5468\uff0c\u82b1\u8d39 $150,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6216\u8005\u7c7b\u4f3c Y \u7684\u7f51\u7ad9\u5f00\u53d1\u9700\u8981 10 \u5468\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u4e3a $100,000\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-key-questions-answered-in-this-article\">\u672c\u6587\u56de\u7b54\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u95ee\u9898<\/h3>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u60a8\u5c06\u4ece\u672c\u6587\u4e2d\u5b66\u5230\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>- \u9879\u76ee\u7ecf\u7406\u5982\u4f55\u51c6\u5907\u9879\u76ee\u7ba1\u7406\u4e2d\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4f30\u7b97\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>- \u54ea\u4e9b\u4f30\u7b97\u6280\u672f\u5bf9\u9879\u76ee\u4f30\u7b97\u6709\u7528\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>- \u89c4\u5212\u5982\u4f55\u8ba9\u81ea\u5df1\u505a\u597d\u7528\u516c\u5f0f\u4f30\u7b97\u6210\u672c\u7684\u51c6\u5907\uff1f<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1152\" height=\"764\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.teamdeck.io\/uploads\/website\/2024\/07\/24134711\/Planning1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13648\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-the-importance-of-accurate-estimation\">\u51c6\u786e\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027<\/h3>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u6ca1\u6709\u5168\u9762\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u4f60\u5c31\u65e0\u6cd5\u8bc4\u4f30\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u6216\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u4e0e\u4f60\u4ee5\u524d\u505a\u8fc7\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u66f4\u7cdf\u7684\u662f\uff1a\u4f30\u7b97\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u51c6\u786e\u56de\u7b54\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8981\u4f30\u7b97\u5462\uff1f\u56e0\u4e3a\u53ea\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u624d\u80fd\u5bf9\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u548c\u9884\u7b97\u3001\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ea4\u4ed8\u9879\u76ee\u6240\u9700\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u505a\u51fa\u5047\u8bbe\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1151\" height=\"767\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.teamdeck.io\/uploads\/website\/2024\/07\/24134711\/Planning2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13651\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-benefits-of-accurate-estimation\">\u51c6\u786e\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u597d\u5904<\/h3>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u5728\u5bf9\u9879\u76ee\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u7b97\u65f6\uff0c\u60a8\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b89\u6392\u5177\u6709\u9002\u5f53\u7ecf\u9a8c\u548c\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u5458\u5de5\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u8ba9\u60a8\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u7b97\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528\u654f\u6377\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u548c\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u6280\u672f\u4e3a\u9879\u76ee\u521b\u5efa\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1063\" height=\"750\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.teamdeck.io\/uploads\/website\/2024\/07\/24134711\/Planning3.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13652\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-the-origin-of-planning-poker\">\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u7684\u8d77\u6e90<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-where-did-scrum-planning-poker-come-from\">Scrum\uff08\u89c4\u5212\uff09\u6251\u514b\u4ece\u4f55\u800c\u6765\uff1f<\/h4>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u8a79\u59c6\u65af-\u683c\u6797\u5b81\uff08James Grenning\uff09\u4e8e 2002 \u5e74\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4ee5\u7b56\u7565\u8457\u79f0\u7684\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u4f1a\u8bdd\uff0c\u79f0\u4e3a Scrum \u6251\u514b\u3002\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa 50 \u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5--\u5bbd\u5e26\u5fb7\u5c14\u83f2\uff08Wide band Delphi\uff09--\u8fc7\u4e8e\u8017\u65f6\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd8\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u3002\u5728\u683c\u4f26\u5b81\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6251\u514b\u8ba1\u5212\u6700\u521d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u89e3\u51b3\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u4e2d\uff0c\u73a9\u5bb6\u8fc7\u4e8e\u5174\u594b\u548c\u8fc7\u4e8e\u4e13\u6ce8\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u65e0\u6cd5\u83b7\u80dc\u3002\u540e\u6765\uff0c\u654f\u6377\u8054\u76df\u548c Scrum \u8054\u76df\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba Mike Cohn \u5728\u4e00\u7bc7\u9898\u4e3a\u300a\u654f\u6377\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0e\u8ba1\u5212\u300b\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1153\" height=\"767\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.teamdeck.io\/uploads\/website\/2024\/07\/24134710\/Planning4.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13653\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-steps-to-accurate-project-estimation\">\u51c6\u786e\u9879\u76ee\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u6b65\u9aa4<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-create-a-list-of-required-features\">\u521b\u5efa\u6240\u9700\u529f\u80fd\u5217\u8868<\/h4>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u542f\u52a8\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u529f\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4f60\u5bf9\u9879\u76ee\u5b9e\u9645\u5185\u5bb9\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u8fd9\u5305\u62ec<\/p>\n<p>- \u4e86\u89e3\u5ba2\u6237\u7684\u671f\u671b<\/p>\n<p>- \u4e86\u89e3\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u548c\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u6807<\/p>\n<p>- \u521b\u5efa\u6240\u9700\u529f\u80fd\u5217\u8868<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u4e00\u65e6\u60a8\u4e86\u89e3\u4e86\u5ba2\u6237\u7684\u7b80\u8981\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u5e76\u638c\u63e1\u4e86\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u591a\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u8981\u6c42\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u60a8\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u5217\u51fa\u6240\u6709\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u4f20\u9012\u7ed9\u60a8\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u3002<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-developing-a-product-backlog\">\u5f00\u53d1\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u6728<\/h4>\n<p>\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u8bf7\u521b\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u6240\u6709\u5f85\u529e\u529f\u80fd\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u5b83\u4eec\u8fdb\u884c\u4f18\u5148\u6392\u5e8f\uff0c\u8bc4\u4f30\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u4f30\u7b97\u5b8c\u6210\u5b83\u4eec\u6240\u9700\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u5408\u9002\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\u5e94\u8be5\u5305\u62ec<\/p>\n<p>- \u7528\u6237\u6545\u4e8b--\u63cf\u8ff0\u7528\u6237\u5728\u4f7f\u7528\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6b65\u9aa4\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u884c\u52a8<\/p>\n<p>- \u9a8c\u6536\u6807\u51c6--\u5217\u51fa\u6545\u4e8b\u5b8c\u6210\u6240\u9700\u7684\u9879\u76ee<\/p>\n<p>- \u6545\u4e8b\u8981\u70b9--\u4ee5\u76f8\u5bf9\u8981\u70b9\u503c\u4f30\u7b97\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u3001\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/p>\n<p>- \u7528\u6237\u6545\u4e8b\u7684\u4efb\u52a1 - \u5217\u51fa\u4ea4\u4ed8\u7528\u6237\u6545\u4e8b\u6240\u9700\u7684\u4efb\u52a1<\/p>\n<p>\u8ba9\u5f00\u53d1\u56e2\u961f\u53c2\u4e0e\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\u7684\u521b\u5efa\u548c\u4f18\u5148\u6392\u5e8f\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u624d\u80fd\u786e\u4fdd\u8bc4\u4f30\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u548c\u73b0\u5b9e\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-prioritizing-features\">\u786e\u5b9a\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u4f18\u5148\u6b21\u5e8f<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-sort-features-by-priority\">\u6309\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\u5bf9\u529f\u80fd\u8fdb\u884c\u6392\u5e8f<\/h4>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u529f\u80fd\u5217\u8868\u540e\uff0c\u4e3a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u529f\u80fd\u5206\u914d\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\u3002\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528 MoSCoW \u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u5b83\u4eec\u8fdb\u884c\u6392\u5e8f\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>- \u5fc5\u987b\u5177\u5907<\/p>\n<p>- \u672c\u5e94<\/p>\n<p>- \u672c\u53ef\u4ee5<\/p>\n<p>- \u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u5f00\u53d1\u4e00\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u8981\u628a\u91cd\u70b9\u653e\u5728\u5fc5\u987b\u4ea4\u4ed8\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u4e0a\u3002\u5f00\u53d1 MVP \u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u4f60\u5728\u5b8c\u6210\u6574\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u4e4b\u524d\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4f60\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u5411\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u6216\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7248\u7528\u6237\u5c55\u793a\u4f60\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u5e76\u6536\u96c6\u5bf9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5f00\u53d1\u5176\u4ed6\u529f\u80fd\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u3002<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-importance-of-assigning-priority\">\u5206\u914d\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027<\/h4>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u6307\u5b9a\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\u8fd8\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u60a8\u5bf9\u9879\u76ee\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u7b97\u3002\u5f53\u4f60\u628a\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u529f\u80fd\u548c\u9700\u8981\u9996\u5148\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u4e0a\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u8ba1\u5b8c\u6210\u65f6\u95f4\u505a\u51fa\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e \"\u53ef\u80fd\u6709 \"\u7684\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5148\u505a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u6982\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u529f\u80fd\u5728\u5f00\u53d1\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u4f1a\u66f4\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u5230\u60a8\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u5b8c\u6210\u8fd9\u4e9b\u529f\u80fd\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u5f88\u591a\u53d8\u5316\uff08\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u6536\u96c6\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e MVP \u7684\u53cd\u9988\u540e\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u4e0d\u5305\u542b\u6240\u6709\u6700\u521d\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u529f\u80fd\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-comprehensive-estimation\">\u7efc\u5408\u4f30\u7b97<\/h4>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8981\u5bf9\u6240\u6709\u529f\u80fd\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u5176\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\u5982\u4f55\uff08\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\"\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709 \"\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u9664\u5916\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u60a8\u5e0c\u671b\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u4e86\u89e3\u6574\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u6982\u51b5\u3002\u5f53\u9879\u76ee\u8fdb\u5165\u4e0b\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u65f6\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u91cd\u65b0\u8bc4\u4f30\u5de5\u4f5c\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u51c6\u786e\u65e0\u8bef\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1152\" height=\"763\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.teamdeck.io\/uploads\/website\/2024\/07\/24134710\/Planning5.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13654\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-estimation-techniques\">\u4f30\u7b97\u6280\u672f<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-story-point-estimation-process\">\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u4f30\u7b97\u6d41\u7a0b<\/h4>\n<p>\u73b0\u5728\u60a8\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\uff0c\u662f\u65f6\u5019\u5bf9\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u6bcf\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u7b97\u4e86\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u3002\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u662f\u654f\u6377\u56e2\u961f\u7528\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u5b8c\u6210\u6bcf\u4e2a\u79ef\u538b\u9879\u76ee\u6240\u9700\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u5355\u4f4d\u3002\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u4e3a\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\u9879\u76ee\u5206\u914d\u76f8\u5bf9\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u4e0e\u65f6\u95f4\u65e0\u5173\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u5177\u6709\u60c5\u611f\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u9669\u8d77\u89c1\u800c\u5728\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0a\u505a\u624b\u811a\u3002\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u80fd\u5e2e\u52a9\u8f6f\u4ef6\u56e2\u961f\u89c4\u5212\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d41\u7a0b\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u9879\u76ee\u4ea4\u4ed8\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5229\u7528\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u7b97\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\n\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\n<\/li>\n<li>\n\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\n<\/li>\n<li>\n\u590d\u6742\u6027\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1164\" height=\"776\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.teamdeck.io\/uploads\/website\/2024\/06\/24135020\/MeasuringUtilization.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13642\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-using-planning-poker-for-estimation\">\u4f7f\u7528\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u7b97<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-negotiate-estimates-with-planning-poker\">\u4e0e\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u534f\u5546\u4f30\u7b97<\/h4>\n<p>\u89c4\u5212\u4f1a\u8bae\u662f\u603b\u7ea7\u4f30\u7b97\u6280\u672f\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u662f\u7ecf\u4fee\u6539\u7684\u6590\u6ce2\u90a3\u5951\u6570\u5217\uff1a1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 20, 40, 100.\u4e3a\u4e86\u4f30\u7b97\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\u4e2d\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458\u4f1a\u62ff\u5230\u540c\u4e00\u5957\u5370\u6709\u6570\u5b57\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u6251\u514b\u724c\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u4ea7\u54c1\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\uff08\u4e0d\u53c2\u4e0e\u6295\u7968\uff09\u5bf9\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\u9879\u76ee\u8fdb\u884c\u7b80\u8981\u4ecb\u7ecd\u548c\u8ba8\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u79c1\u4e0b\u6311\u9009\u51fa\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e0e\u5b8c\u6210\u8be5\u9879\u76ee\u6240\u9700\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u6570\u7684\u6251\u514b\u724c\uff0c\u5e76\u540c\u65f6\u63ed\u6653\u3002<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-consensus-based-estimation-technique\">\u57fa\u4e8e\u5171\u8bc6\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u6280\u672f<\/h4>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u6570\u5b57\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458\u5c31\u4f1a\u8ba8\u8bba\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9009\u62e9\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u6570\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u518d\u6b21\u6295\u7968\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u8ba1\u5212\u6251\u514b\u6d41\u7a0b\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u662f\u654f\u6377\u4e2d\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u5171\u8bc6\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u4f30\u7b97\u7528\u6237\u6545\u4e8b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u8fbe\u6210\u5171\u8bc6\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u518d\u4ece\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\u4e2d\u9009\u62e9\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8fbe\u6210\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982 20\u300140 \u6216\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u6545\u4e8b\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u9636\u6bb5\u6240\u9700\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u592a\u5927\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u5206\u89e3\u6210\u66f4\u5c0f\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\u3002\u7406\u60f3\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u9879\u76ee\u9648\u8ff0\u3001\u8ba8\u8bba\u548c\u6295\u7968\u5e94\u5728\u4e24\u5206\u949f\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u5c31\u80fd\u5728\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u4f30\u7b97\u51fa\u6574\u4e2a\u79ef\u538b\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u91cc\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u4f30\u7b97\u6574\u4e2a\u79ef\u538b\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8bf7\u6162\u6162\u6765\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u62c5\u5fc3\u6709\u4e9b\u6545\u4e8b\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1152\" height=\"763\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.teamdeck.io\/uploads\/website\/2024\/07\/24134710\/Planning6.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13655\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-evaluating-team-velocity\">\u8bc4\u4f30\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-assess-team-velocity\">\u8bc4\u4f30\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6<\/h4>\n<p>\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\u663e\u793a\u4e86\u9879\u76ee\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u3002\u5b83\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u4e86\u89e3\u4e24\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>- \u60a8\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u9636\u6bb5\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u591a\u5c11\u5de5\u4f5c<\/p>\n<p>- \u5047\u5b9a\u6574\u4e2a\u8303\u56f4\u662f\u56fa\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u65e5\u671f\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u65f6\u5019\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u90fd\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6700\u521d\u7684\u8fed\u4ee3\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5f53\u56e2\u961f\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u529f\u80fd\u65f6\u518d\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8fed\u4ee3\u4e2d\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u56db\u4e2a\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u6728\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u603b\u8ba1 20 \u4e2a\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u5176\u4e2d\u4e09\u4e2a\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e 15 \u4e2a\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u56e2\u961f\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u3002\u8bf7\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u624d\u7b97\u6570\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u4ed6\u4eec\u8bbe\u6cd5\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u7b2c\u56db\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7b97\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f1a\u8bae\u671f\u95f4\uff0cScrum Master \u5728\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4f30\u7b97\u8fc7\u7a0b\u548c\u786e\u4fdd\u51c6\u786e\u8bc4\u4f30\u65b9\u9762\u53d1\u6325\u7740\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-scheduling-and-budgeting\">\u65e5\u7a0b\u5b89\u6392\u548c\u9884\u7b97\u7f16\u5236<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-how-to-schedule-a-particular-project-on-story-points\">\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u4e0a\u5b89\u6392\u7279\u5b9a\u9879\u76ee<\/h4>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u5728\u534f\u5546\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u548c\u8bc4\u4f30\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\u540e\uff0c\u60a8\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u8fdb\u5ea6\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u5c06\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e09\u6b21\u8fed\u4ee3\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\u76f8\u52a0\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u9664\u4ee5 3\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fed\u4ee3\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5206\u522b\u4e3a 20\u300123 \u548c 17\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\u7ea6\u7b49\u4e8e 20 \u4e2a\u70b9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u603b\u91cf\u4e3a 100 \u4e2a\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5728\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\u4e3a 20 \u70b9\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u9700\u8981 5 \u6b21\u8fed\u4ee3\u624d\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u5047\u8bbe\u4e00\u6b21\u8fed\u4ee3\u9700\u8981\u4e24\u5468\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u60a8\u5e94\u8be5\u5728 10 \u5468\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u9879\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1144\" height=\"761\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.teamdeck.io\/uploads\/website\/2024\/07\/24134709\/Planning7.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13656\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-determining-the-budget\">\u786e\u5b9a\u9884\u7b97<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-project-cost-estimation-formula\">\u9879\u76ee\u6210\u672c\u4f30\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f<\/h4>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u8981\u786e\u5b9a\u9879\u76ee\u9884\u7b97\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u4ee5\u4e0b\u57fa\u672c\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a(\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u603b\u6570\/\u901f\u5ea6*\u56e2\u961f\u6bcf\u6b21\u51b2\u523a\u7684\u5c0f\u65f6\u6570\uff09+\u975e\u4eba\u529b\u6210\u672c=\u4f30\u8ba1\u9884\u7b97\u3002\u7528\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u603b\u6570\u9664\u4ee5\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u518d\u7528\u51b2\u523a\u6b21\u6570\u4e58\u4ee5\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458\u6bcf\u5468 40 \u5c0f\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u5f97\u51fa\u4e86\u4eba\u5de5\u6210\u672c\u3002\u7136\u540e\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u975e\u4eba\u529b\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5982\u8d44\u672c\u6210\u672c\u3001\u8bbe\u5907\u6210\u672c\u3001\u7ef4\u62a4\u6210\u672c\u3001\u57f9\u8bad\u6210\u672c\u7b49\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f30\u8ba1\u6709 100 \u4e2a\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\u662f 20\u3002\u4ee5 $50 \u7684\u5c0f\u65f6\u8d39\u7387\u4e3a\u9879\u76ee\u5206\u914d 5 \u4eba\u56e2\u961f\uff0c\u5219\u56e2\u961f\u6bcf\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u7684\u5de5\u65f6\u4ef7\u503c\u4e3a $20,000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c5 \u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u7684\u5de5\u65f6\u4ef7\u503c\u4e3a $100,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5047\u8bbe\u975e\u4eba\u5de5\u6210\u672c\u4e3a $50,000\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a $150,000\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5178\u8303\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u4e3a 80-120%\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u62a5\u544a\u8303\u56f4\u73b0\u5728\u4e3a $120,000 \u5230 $180,000\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/teamdeck.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-placeholder.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-re-estimation-for-accuracy\">\u91cd\u65b0\u4f30\u7b97\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u51c6\u786e\u6027<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-re-estimate-your-project-to-get-a-more-accurate-cost-estimate\">\u91cd\u65b0\u4f30\u7b97\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4f30\u7b97<\/h4>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u8bf7\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u4f30\u7b97\u662f 100% \u51c6\u786e\u7684\u3002\u6700\u597d\u6bcf\u9694\u51e0\u4e2a\u8fed\u4ee3\u5c31\u91cd\u65b0\u4f30\u7b97\u4e00\u6b21\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8d44\u6e90\u53ef\u7528\u6027\u3001\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\u6216\u9879\u76ee\u8303\u56f4\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u800c\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u91cd\u65b0\u4f30\u7b97\u53ef\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u662f\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u3002\u4f7f\u7528\u65f6\u95f4\u8ddf\u8e2a\u548c\u8d44\u6e90\u8c03\u5ea6\u8f6f\u4ef6\u8fd8\u80fd\u5e2e\u52a9\u60a8\u7ba1\u7406\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u53ef\u7528\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u5fc5\u8981\u65f6\u91cd\u65b0\u5206\u914d\u3002\u6709\u4e86\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u6280\u672f\u548c\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u60a8\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u60a8\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u66f4\u52a0\u53ef\u9760\uff0c\u5e76\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u89c4\u5212\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1150\" 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class=\"has-text-align-start\">\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u4f30\u7b97\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6210\u529f\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u7ba1\u7406\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u89e3\u671f\u671b\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u3001\u521b\u5efa\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u79ef\u538b\u3001\u786e\u5b9a\u529f\u80fd\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f7f\u7528\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u548c\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u7b49\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002\u5b9a\u671f\u91cd\u65b0\u4f30\u7b97\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f7f\u7528\u65f6\u95f4\u8ddf\u8e2a\u548c\u8d44\u6e90\u7ba1\u7406\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u9879\u76ee\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u548c\u9884\u7b97\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u9075\u5faa\u8fd9\u4e9b\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u514b\u670d\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u53d6\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u6210\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid redl-row-section feature-row vc_custom_1574416816256 vc_row-o-equal-height vc_row-o-content-middle vc_row-flex padding-medium bgv-default bgh-default halign-center\"><\/div><div class=\"vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid redl-row-section vc_row-o-content-middle vc_row-flex padding-default bgv-default bgh-default halign-default\"><div class=\"wpb_column vc_column_container text-center vc_col-sm-12 padding-default bgv-default bgh-default halign-center\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\" >\n\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<p> \u8f7b\u677e\u4f7f\u7528\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u4f30\u7b97\u6280\u672f<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e86\u89e3\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u7ba1\u7406\u8f6f\u4ef6\u88ab Hill-Knowlton \u6216 Stormind Games \u7684\u9879\u76ee\u7ecf\u7406\u9009\u7528\u7684\u539f\u56e0<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<a class=\"redl-btn   vc_custom_1596025898618 redl-btn-medium redl-btn-69d29d0738cef btn-icon-left redl-btn redl-btn-two vc_custom_1551260371526 redl-btn-medium redl-btn-5f2168a4adf5d btn-hover-one btn-icon-right signup-top\" href=\"https:\/\/app.teamdeck.io\/register\">\u83b7\u5f97 14 \u5929\u514d\u8d39\u8bd5\u7528<\/a><div class=\"vc_empty_space\"   style=\"height: 32px\" ><span class=\"vc_empty_space_inner\"><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Challenge of Inaccurate Estimates Inaccurate estimates are among the most popular project management challenges. When starting a new IT project, you want to know two things: how long it is going to take and how much...","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":8515,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[33,28,32],"class_list":["post-2825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-project-management","tag-estimation","tag-project-manager","tag-project-planning"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.8 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Planning Poker Estimation Technique and Story Points | Teamdeck.io<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Estimating software projects is usually very tricky. 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